Bracketology: Texas jumps as much as a No. 1 seed, bumps Arizona off prime line in NCAA Event projection

A brand new bracket is up, and once more there’s a change on the highest line.

Texas jumped each Kansas and Arizona to take over the third general seed on the energy of a win at Kansas State on Saturday. The Longhorns are at Kansas on Monday night time, so extra change might be within the offing.

Texas now has eight Quadrant 1 wins, tied with Purdue for second most behind Kansas. Seven of these wins have come towards groups presently within the bracket. All 4 of their losses have come to groups seeded No. 7 or higher.

Arizona dropped all the way down to fifth general regardless of a win on Saturday over Oregon State. 

Arizona has an odd trying resume. The Wildcats have some very good wins, led by victories over Tennessee and UCLA. Nonetheless, in addition they have an uncommon assortment of losses. All three of Arizona’s losses are to groups that aren’t presently within the bracket and solely Oregon is a bubble group.

Purdue continues to be the general No. 1 seed after a loss at Indiana on Saturday. The Boilermakers may nonetheless keep forward of Alabama even with one other loss, however that’s now not assured. Purdue has Iowa at residence on Thursday, adopted by street tilts with Northwestern and Maryland, which just about received at Purdue on Jan. 22.

The Crimson Tide host Florida on Wednesday earlier than a street journey to Auburn and Tennessee.

Bracketology prime seeds

Take a look at Palm’s newest bracket, full subject of 68 and all of the groups on the bubble on the Bracketology hub.

Saint Mary’s and the metrics

Saint Mary’s picked up its finest win of the season late Saturday night time. The Gaels defeated convention rival Gonzaga at residence in time beyond regulation to increase its lead within the convention to 2 video games. That’s their finest win of the season and  they’re a No. 4 seed within the bracket.

The metrics love Saint Mary’s as a result of it is likely one of the prime groups in scoring margin. The NET, Kenpom.com and Sagarin’s rankings particularly rely closely on scoring margin. Nonetheless, margin of victory is extra necessary to these metrics than it’s to the committee. 

Whenever you hear somebody from the committee discuss what’s necessary to them, there’s a inventory reply: “Who did you play, the place did you play them, who did you beat and who beat you.”  They by no means say “how a lot did you win or lose by”.

So, should you see groups within the bracket and/or seeding that doesn’t appear to match the metrics, return to what committee members say is necessary to them. 

Even information towards groups in one of many quadrants may be deceiving. An neglected issue that carries some weight with the choice committee is a group’s efficiency towards different groups both within the bracket or into account. Not all Quad 1 opponents are of the identical worth.

What win vs. Purdue means for Indiana

The Hoosiers, a No. 5 seed, didn’t get a lot of a lift from the win over Purdue. Indiana is barely 6-7 towards groups within the prime two quadrants. It’s uncommon for a group to get a top-four seed with a file beneath .500 towards that group of groups. Nonetheless, if the Hoosiers can proceed their current type, a climb up the charts won’t be far-off.

Observe: An inventory of bubble groups will seem on the bracket web page beneath the bracket Monday. The every day bubble watch column will debut Tuesday.